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@Mangaz

Expert in

First trade Jul 3, 20250x4585…78bdView on PolymarketUpdated 6d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 60th pct
Edge: 67th pct
Win Rate: 76th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 86th pct
Downside Risk: 61st pct
Track Record: 58th pct

Volume traded

$2,886.05

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

65.9%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$3.90

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

91 total

Market				To win
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes	48.0¢89.5¢	5	$2.50$4.67	$5.22	+$2.16Timeline
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No	94.7¢—	5	$5$0.86	$5.28	-$4.14Timeline
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No	87.0¢—	6	$5$5.65	$5.75	+$0.65Timeline
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? No positionClosed	23.0¢—	95	$21.74—	—	-$4.87Timeline
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	42.0¢—	11	$4.76—	—	+$0.05Timeline
Cerebras IPO before 2027? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	7	$5.95—	—	+$0.52Timeline
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev No positionClosed	58.0¢—	15	$8.62—	—	-$5.00Timeline
US forces enter Iran by March 14? No positionClosed	90.0¢—	6	$5.56—	—	+$0.56Timeline
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? No positionClosed	53.0¢—	18	$9.43—	—	+$2.22Timeline
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinner No positionClosed	66.0¢—	8	$5—	—	-$5.00Timeline