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@LupusPax

Expert in

First trade Feb 6, 20260x09c9…6162View on PolymarketUpdated 23d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 48th pct
Edge: 15th pct
Win Rate: 10th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 16th pct
Track Record: 39th pct

Volume traded

$25,140.94

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

22.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$98.78

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 22:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

62 total

Market				To win
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes	15.0¢13.0¢	133	$20$17.31	$133.13	-$2.69Timeline
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.2¢0.2¢	500	$1$0.75	$500	-$0.25Timeline
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.2¢0.2¢	500	$1$0.75	$500	-$0.25Timeline
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.2¢0.2¢	1,500	$3$2.25	$1,500	-$0.75Timeline
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.2¢0.2¢	500	$1$0.75	$500	-$0.25Timeline
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.2¢0.2¢	500	$1$0.75	$500	-$0.25Timeline
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.2¢0.2¢	500	$1$0.75	$500	-$0.25Timeline
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.3¢0.2¢	333	$1$0.50	$333.33	-$0.50Timeline
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.3¢0.3¢	333	$1$0.83	$333.33	-$0.17Timeline
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	0.3¢0.2¢	333	$1$0.50	$333.33	-$0.50Timeline