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@Lorer13

Expert in

First trade Oct 10, 20250x4c61…2090View on PolymarketUpdated 48d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 21st pct
Edge: 6th pct
Win Rate: 53rd pct
Consistency: 17th pct
Downside Risk: 24th pct
Track Record: 52nd pct

Volume traded

$76,385.57

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

53.0%

Fees charged: $12.27
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $12.27
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$2,342.88

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-27 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

66 total

Market				To win
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance No positionClosed	41.0¢—	1,015	$416—	—	-$416.00Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No positionClosed	66.7¢—	2,462	$1,642.28—	—	-$668.44Timeline
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? No positionClosed	92.9¢—	1,269	$1,179.17—	—	-$0.33Timeline
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? No positionClosed	98.8¢—	1,109	$1,095.78—	—	+$13.04Timeline
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? No positionClosed	99.3¢—	1,099	$1,091.47—	—	-$1.09Timeline
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? No positionClosed	15.5¢—	209	$32.32—	—	+$4.99Timeline
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? No positionClosed	41.4¢—	58	$24.15—	—	+$3.69Timeline
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? YesClosed	94.7¢$1.00	1,101	$1,108.05$1,101.49	—	+$31.30Timeline
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? No positionClosed	63.1¢—	2,453	$1,547.43—	—	+$66.54Timeline
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 5, 2026? No positionClosed	96.4¢—	1,014	$977.33—	—	+$35.54Timeline