0 followers

@L2_gem

Expert in

First trade Jan 10, 20240xe13a…cc01View on PolymarketUpdated 31d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 35th pct
Edge: 73rd pct
Win Rate: 8th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 12th pct
Downside Risk: 53rd pct
Track Record: 50th pct

Volume traded

$123,856.74

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

16.9%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$623.50

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-05-28 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

59 total

Market				To win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No positionClosed	5.0¢—	600	$30—	—	-$30.00Timeline
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No positionClosed	4.9¢—	285	$14—	—	-$14.00Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	1,000	$170—	—	-$1.70Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? No positionClosed	9.0¢—	12,940	$1,163.33—	—	-$87.89Timeline
US forces enter Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	24.3¢—	618	$150—	—	-$169.25Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? No positionClosed	1.0¢—	1,053	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Iran leadership change by March 31? No positionClosed	18.0¢—	3,088	$555.56—	—	+$44.44Timeline
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? No positionClosed	4.5¢—	673	$30—	—	-$30.00Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	0.2¢—	7,081	$16.99—	—	-$16.99Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	0.1¢—	8,182	$9—	—	-$9.00Timeline