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@Kosher-Gingerbread

Expert in

First trade Mar 7, 20250xf697…5f20View on PolymarketUpdated 9d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 67th pct
Edge: 61st pct
Win Rate: 88th pct
Max Drawdown: 93rd pct
Consistency: 89th pct
Track Record: 43rd pct

Volume traded

$1,991.67

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

82.9%

Fees charged: $0.01
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.01
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $15.09

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

43 total

Market				To win
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoMergeable	50.0¢100.0¢	102	$50.83$101.61	—	+$50.78Timeline
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesMergeable	50.0¢0.1¢	102	$50.83$0.05	—	-$50.78Timeline
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? No positionClosed	95.9¢—	5	$5.22—	—	+$0.22Timeline
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No positionClosed	97.4¢—	110	$107.14—	—	+$2.79Timeline
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	93.0¢—	113	$104.87—	—	+$7.34Timeline
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31? No positionClosed	91.0¢—	107	$97.52—	—	+$8.78Timeline
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No positionClosed	92.0¢—	6	$5.93—	—	+$0.06Timeline
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	7	$6.20—	—	+$0.71Timeline
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	10	$8.53—	—	-$0.77Timeline
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	83.0¢—	10	$8.55—	—	-$0.26Timeline
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	15	$10.37—	—	-$0.52Timeline