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@Key-Disappointment

Expert in

First trade Aug 23, 20240x59b2…874aView on PolymarketUpdated 52d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 58th pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 7th pct
Consistency: 3rd pct
Downside Risk: 43rd pct
Track Record: 75th pct

Volume traded

$29,279.79

Predictions

192

Rank

—

Win rate

11.5%

Fees charged: $0.41
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.41
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$11.23

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 11:28:48 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

236 total

Market				To win
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No	97.8¢—	8	$7.42$7.42	$7.59	-$0.00Timeline
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No positionClosed	92.9¢—	8	$7.59—	—	-$0.04Timeline
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No positionClosed	96.7¢—	8	$7.87—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No positionClosed	96.8¢—	8	$7.93—	—	-$0.08Timeline
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No positionClosed	96.6¢—	16	$15.17—	—	-$0.02Timeline
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No positionClosed	97.3¢—	8	$7.60—	—	-$0.09Timeline
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No positionClosed	97.0¢—	8	$7.40—	—	-$0.05Timeline
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No positionClosed	97.3¢—	8	$7.84—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	92.0¢—	9	$8.43—	—	-$0.08Timeline
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No positionClosed	96.7¢—	2	$1.95—	—	+$0.00Timeline