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@Kaca

Expert in

First trade Jul 22, 20240x5e1b…2177View on PolymarketUpdated 103d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 35th pct
Edge: 96th pct
Win Rate: 72nd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 94th pct
Track Record: 41st pct

Volume traded

$59,564.75

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

68.4%

Fees charged: $8.92
Fee refunds: $5.95
Fees paid: $2.96
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$593.50

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

39 total

Market				To win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? NoClosed	52.0¢0.0¢	100	$52$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	30.0¢—	333	$100—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	8.3¢—	30,504	$2,531.81—	—	-$4.70Timeline
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	18.9¢—	9,316	$1,760.63—	—	-$0.50Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	18.1¢—	11,071	$2,003.88—	—	-$5.52Timeline
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	11.1¢—	6,306	$700—	—	-$6.30Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	27.4¢—	8,162	$2,234.40—	—	-$5.38Timeline
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	39.8¢—	4,608	$1,832.04—	—	+$1.62Timeline
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	21.1¢—	8,574	$1,809.15—	—	+$5.82Timeline
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders No positionClosed	70.0¢—	143	$100—	—	+$30.00Timeline