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@JayRer

Expert in

First trade Mar 3, 20250xb07f…16f2View on PolymarketUpdated 11d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 77th pct
Edge: 15th pct
Win Rate: 94th pct
Max Drawdown: 97th pct
Consistency: 95th pct
Downside Risk: 99th pct
Track Record: 63rd pct

Volume traded

$7,337.78

Predictions

112

Rank

—

Win rate

86.6%

Fees charged: $1.84
Fee refunds: $0.36
Fees paid: $1.48
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $326.44

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-04 22:14:45 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

112 total

Market				To win
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	12	$12.01—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	28.8¢—	32	$9.29—	—	-$0.24Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	12	$12.31—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63 million views in week 1? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	112	$112.11—	—	+$0.11Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	112	$112.11—	—	+$0.11Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? No positionClosed	93.8¢—	119	$111.23—	—	+$6.89Timeline
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	105	$105.21—	—	+$0.20Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	104	$104.10—	—	+$0.10Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	104	$104.10—	—	+$0.10Timeline
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3? No positionClosed	99.7¢—	105	$104.34—	—	+$0.32Timeline