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@JakeBeez

Expert in

First trade Nov 16, 20250x25b9…3058View on PolymarketUpdated 1d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 39th pct
Edge: 34th pct
Win Rate: 87th pct
Consistency: 3rd pct
Downside Risk: 40th pct
Track Record: 90th pct

Volume traded

$147,976.24

Predictions

1,244

Rank

—

Win rate

70.3%

Fees charged: $1.35
Fee refunds: $1.35
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$383.70

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-16 05:57:22 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

1,244 total

Market				To win
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027? No	11.0¢—	30	$3.30$2.25	$30	-$1.05Timeline
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes	10.0¢6.5¢	30	$3$1.95	$30	-$1.05Timeline
Will CJ Carr win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes	7.0¢6.5¢	20	$1.40$1.30	$20	-$0.10Timeline
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? No	10.0¢—	20	$2$1.54	$20	-$0.46Timeline
Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? Yes	9.0¢14.0¢	12	$1.10$1.71	$12.20	+$0.61Timeline
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes	9.0¢8.5¢	50	$4.50$4.23	$50	-$0.28Timeline
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%? Yes	10.5¢1.5¢	50	$5.25$0.75	$50	-$4.50Timeline
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? Yes	38.0¢18.0¢	20	$7.60$3.60	$20	-$4.00Timeline
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? No	10.7¢—	50	$5.35$5.35	$50	+$0.00Timeline
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI	13.3¢—	120	$16$7.26	$120	-$8.74Timeline