0 followers

@Israelwin

Expert in

First trade Nov 15, 20240x7d6c…0e2cView on PolymarketUpdated 17d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 25th pct
Edge: 89th pct
Win Rate: 27th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 77th pct
Track Record: 20th pct

Volume traded

$56,870.34

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

46.7%

Fees charged: $52.64
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $52.64
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,662.28

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

18 total

Market				To win
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes	38.0¢10.5¢	1,316	$500$138.16	$1,315.79	-$361.84Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes	15.0¢11.5¢	3,333	$500$383.33	$3,333.33	-$116.66Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes	13.7¢3.8¢	3,044	$417.02$114.14	$3,043.69	-$302.89Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? No positionClosed	76.3¢—	879	$670.64—	—	+$158.86Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	43.8¢—	3,450	$1,511.18—	—	+$849.18Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No positionClosed	2.5¢—	4,032	$100—	—	-$100.00Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	90.0¢—	617	$555.56—	—	-$3.50Timeline
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	1,250	$100—	—	-$100.00Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No positionClosed	83.0¢—	6,686	$5,548.65—	—	-$88.24Timeline
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? No positionClosed	22.7¢—	9,715	$2,200.47—	—	-$371.42Timeline