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@IO.

Expert in

First trade Oct 25, 20250x1db9…a43bView on PolymarketUpdated 6d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 2nd pct
Edge: 26th pct
Win Rate: 40th pct
Consistency: 1st pct
Downside Risk: 32nd pct
Track Record: 86th pct

Volume traded

$1,122,830.87

Predictions

607

Rank

—

Win rate

37.1%

Fees charged: $2,623.23
Fee refunds: $2,117.14
Fees paid: $506.09
Maker rebates: $85.26
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$63,032.55

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-04 17:41:52 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

638 total

Market				To win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? No positionClosed	48.0¢—	144	$68.97—	—	-$70.76Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? No positionClosed	58.0¢—	54	$31.50—	—	+$22.81Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? No positionClosed	0.3¢—	3,029	$10—	—	-$10.32Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026? No positionClosed	18.2¢—	130	$23.60—	—	-$23.75Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? No positionClosed	0.8¢—	3,113	$25.84—	—	-$26.36Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? No positionClosed	5.8¢—	2,552	$147.50—	—	-$153.43Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? No positionClosed	37.9¢—	89	$33.69—	—	-$34.67Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? No positionClosed	61.0¢—	15	$9.15—	—	+$5.85Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? No positionClosed	42.5¢—	491	$208.71—	—	-$33.94Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? No positionClosed	86.6¢—	161	$139.79—	—	+$16.11Timeline

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@IO.

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@IO.

Why this trader grades F

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