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@ICTRADING

Expert in

First trade Mar 30, 20260xa28c…e10fView on PolymarketUpdated 30d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 85th pct
Edge: 78th pct
Win Rate: 85th pct
Max Drawdown: 63rd pct
Consistency: 77th pct
Downside Risk: 83rd pct
Track Record: 52nd pct

Volume traded

$245,820.85

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

76.6%

Fees charged: $296.15
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $296.15
Maker rebates: $48.31
Taker rebates: $1.87
Net realized P&L: $1,781.49

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-04 23:14:45 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

68 total

Market				To win
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes	65.1¢82.5¢	1,002	$652.19$826.69	$1,002.05	+$174.50Timeline
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? NoClosed	85.0¢$1.00	500	$425$500	—	+$112.99Timeline
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? No positionClosed	95.9¢—	3,128	$3,000—	—	+$122.32Timeline
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? NoClosed	8.2¢0.0¢	67	$5.49$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026? NoClosed	86.2¢$1.00	568	$489.78$568.13	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026? No positionClosed	95.2¢—	2,102	$2,000—	—	+$96.48Timeline
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No positionClosed	58.5¢—	7,773	$4,544.61—	—	-$1,344.04Timeline
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	80.8¢—	4,954	$3,999.99—	—	+$190.53Timeline
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? No positionClosed	97.0¢—	411	$399.10—	—	+$11.97Timeline
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? No positionClosed	48.0¢—	625	$300—	—	+$68.27Timeline

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See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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Wallet funding

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@ICTRADING

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@ICTRADING

Why this trader grades C

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