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@Harakuku

Expert in

First trade Oct 19, 20240xfff2…27adView on PolymarketUpdated 32d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 80th pct
Edge: 73rd pct
Win Rate: 36th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 55th pct
Downside Risk: 76th pct
Track Record: 49th pct

Volume traded

$21,288.82

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

42.9%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $592.68

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2025-05-17 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

56 total

Market				To win
Will Randy Fine win by 15-20%? No positionClosed	7.6¢—	4,290	$327.35—	—	+$105.95Timeline
Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%? No positionClosed	26.4¢—	501	$132.41—	—	+$10.02Timeline
Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%? No positionClosed	73.0¢—	94	$68.49—	—	-$45.89Timeline
FL-6 special election: Weil (D) vs. Fine (R) No positionClosed	91.7¢—	178	$163.58—	—	+$13.58Timeline
Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	235	$200—	—	-$200.00Timeline
Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? No positionClosed	86.8¢—	226	$195.86—	—	+$25.86Timeline
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration? No positionClosed	15.2¢—	3,479	$527.47—	—	+$64.78Timeline
Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director? No positionClosed	25.0¢—	800	$200—	—	-$28.00Timeline
Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director? No positionClosed	84.3¢—	282	$237.29—	—	-$200.00Timeline
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? No positionClosed	15.0¢—	334	$50—	—	-$50.00Timeline