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@Halley01

Expert in

First trade Mar 8, 20260x128b…7c4fView on PolymarketUpdated 56d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 28th pct
Edge: 63rd pct
Win Rate: 95th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 80th pct
Downside Risk: 56th pct
Track Record: 69th pct

Volume traded

$156,939.95

Predictions

166

Rank

—

Win rate

87.4%

Fees charged: $241.68
Fee refunds: $12.76
Fees paid: $228.92
Maker rebates: $6.06
Taker rebates: $3
Net realized P&L: -$1,181.07

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

166 total

Market				To win
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? No	98.5¢—	40	$39.40$39.52	$40	+$0.12Timeline
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No	98.2¢—	1,393	$1,367.41$1,338.45	$1,392.76	-$28.97Timeline
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? No	98.7¢—	1,280	$1,263.34$1,261.44	$1,280	-$1.90Timeline
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? No	97.8¢—	750	$733.22$741.38	$750	+$8.15Timeline
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? No	98.7¢—	110	$108.57$107.14	$110	-$1.43Timeline
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? No	98.1¢—	600	$588.69$594	$600	+$5.31Timeline
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? No	98.2¢—	400	$392.61$389	$400	-$3.61Timeline
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? No positionClosed	96.9¢—	317	$307.33—	—	+$9.50Timeline
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	808	$804.22—	—	+$4.22Timeline
Will United States win on 2026-07-01? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	2,157	$2,128.52—	—	+$28.52Timeline