0 followers

@GhostPrediction

Expert in

First trade Feb 11, 20260x5c78…8cbcView on PolymarketUpdated 29d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 34th pct
Edge: 82nd pct
Win Rate: 20th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 33rd pct
Track Record: 20th pct

Volume traded

$90,085.10

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

40.0%

Fees charged: $3.59
Fee refunds: $3.08
Fees paid: $0.52
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$654.83

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-03-01 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

15 total

Market				To win
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? No positionClosed	3.8¢—	580	$22—	—	-$22.00Timeline
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	32.0¢—	117	$37.50—	—	+$9.75Timeline
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? No positionClosed	1.0¢—	54,891	$526.95—	—	-$526.95Timeline
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	12.0¢—	24,326	$2,916.67—	—	-$29.16Timeline
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days? No positionClosed	4.2¢—	14,376	$599.49—	—	-$24.40Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET No positionClosed	44.5¢—	35	$15.56—	—	+$13.70Timeline
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? No positionClosed	71.2¢—	204	$145—	—	-$115.65Timeline
Government shutdown on Saturday? No positionClosed	70.3¢—	7	$5.01—	—	+$65.31Timeline
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? No positionClosed	32.0¢—	977	$312.50—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? No positionClosed	0.6¢—	83,333	$500—	—	+$6.54Timeline