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@GeoAlpha1

Expert in

First trade Feb 25, 20260x3b80…047bView on PolymarketUpdated 46d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 71st pct
Edge: 41st pct
Win Rate: 97th pct
Consistency: 73rd pct
Downside Risk: 65th pct
Track Record: 82nd pct

Volume traded

$240,495.17

Predictions

430

Rank

—

Win rate

88.9%

Fees charged: $21.91
Fee refunds: $1.58
Fees paid: $20.33
Maker rebates: $1.18
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $62.34

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

432 total

Market				To win
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	97.2¢—	5	$4.85$4.92	$4.99	+$0.07Timeline
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	400	$200—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	800	$400—	—	+$0.00Timeline
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 31? NoClosed	89.0¢0.0¢	5	$4.45$0	—	-$4.00Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? YesClosed	97.4¢$1.00	200	$194.79$199.99	—	+$0.00Timeline
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 24? No positionClosed	10.0¢—	5,000	$500—	—	-$8.75Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23? No positionClosed	96.9¢—	258	$250—	—	+$6.50Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? No positionClosed	91.0¢—	220	$200—	—	+$2.00Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? No positionClosed	98.5¢—	406	$400—	—	+$3.80Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	63	$50—	—	+$10.00Timeline

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@GeoAlpha1

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@GeoAlpha1

Why this trader grades C

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