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@Genesis727

Expert in

First trade Aug 4, 20250xca6a…8fb9View on PolymarketUpdated 103d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 69th pct
Edge: 32nd pct
Win Rate: 23rd pct
Consistency: 86th pct
Downside Risk: 78th pct
Track Record: 56th pct

Volume traded

$24,393.93

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

31.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $28.07

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 07:22:43 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

77 total

Market				To win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No positionClosed	96.7¢—	91	$88—	—	+$0.26Timeline
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No positionClosed	80.9¢—	352	$285—	—	-$3.77Timeline
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No positionClosed	23.2¢—	923	$214—	—	-$0.16Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	51.0¢—	651	$332—	—	-$1.58Timeline
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	96	$95—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Alberta join the US? No positionClosed	95.4¢—	97	$93—	—	+$0.09Timeline
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? No positionClosed	91.6¢—	305	$279—	—	-$0.38Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No positionClosed	41.0¢—	578	$237—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	86	$85—	—	+$0.17Timeline
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	4.0¢—	9,075	$363—	—	-$0.99Timeline