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@Frederick9

Expert in

First trade Oct 31, 20250xd1e2…136aView on PolymarketUpdated 63d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 79th pct
Edge: 48th pct
Win Rate: 72nd pct
Max Drawdown: 98th pct
Consistency: 79th pct
Downside Risk: 97th pct
Track Record: 72nd pct

Volume traded

$50,680.79

Predictions

189

Rank

—

Win rate

59.6%

Fees charged: $2.89
Fee refunds: $1.42
Fees paid: $1.47
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $513.76

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-13 19:21:49 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

189 total

Market				To win
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No	99.9¢—	14	$13.50$13.41	$13.51	-$0.09Timeline
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? No positionClosed	48.0¢—	21	$10—	—	+$10.83Timeline
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? No positionClosed	41.0¢—	12	$5—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	92	$92.09—	—	+$0.09Timeline
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	61	$61.06—	—	+$0.06Timeline
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets No positionClosed	59.0¢—	11	$6.78—	—	+$2.78Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	65	$65.07—	—	+$0.07Timeline
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in May? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	79	$79.05—	—	+$0.08Timeline
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 30? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	12	$11.46—	—	+$0.06Timeline
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	90	$90.18—	—	+$0.18Timeline