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@Francisco679

Expert in

First trade Aug 26, 20250x2242…0b12View on PolymarketUpdated 66d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 63rd pct
Edge: 33rd pct
Win Rate: 32nd pct
Consistency: 91st pct
Downside Risk: 65th pct
Track Record: 59th pct

Volume traded

$28,112.96

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

38.2%

Fees charged: $0.02
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.02
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$0.12

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

90 total

Market				To win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes	9.3¢4.3¢	—	—$0.01	$0.30	-$0.02Timeline
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? NoClosed	88.7¢$1.00	3	$603$3	—	-$2.19Timeline
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? NoClosed	96.7¢$1.00	4	$345$3.96	—	-$0.00Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by May 8? No positionClosed	92.1¢—	125	$115—	—	+$5.53Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No positionClosed	22.5¢—	840	$189—	—	+$12.66Timeline
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No positionClosed	96.9¢—	91	$88—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? No positionClosed	2.0¢—	4,600	$92—	—	-$0.55Timeline
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No positionClosed	98.5¢—	96	$95—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	8.9¢—	1,067	$95—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	87.7¢—	278	$244—	—	-$0.07Timeline