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@Filllick

Expert in

First trade May 12, 20250x1d9b…9555View on PolymarketUpdated 66d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 36th pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 84th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 61st pct
Downside Risk: 46th pct
Track Record: 52nd pct

Volume traded

$31,892.94

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

75.4%

Fees charged: $13.69
Fee refunds: $2.51
Fees paid: $11.18
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$554.96

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-06-19 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

65 total

Market				To win
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET No positionClosed	91.0¢—	3	$3—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET No positionClosed	86.0¢—	1	$1.16—	—	+$0.16Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET No positionClosed	87.0¢—	3	$2.30—	—	+$0.30Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET No positionClosed	81.0¢—	3	$2.47—	—	+$0.47Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET No positionClosed	52.0¢—	4	$1.92—	—	+$0.92Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No positionClosed	96.0¢—	961	$922.45—	—	-$781.58Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No positionClosed	97.6¢—	1,130	$1,102.23—	—	+$25.09Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	123	$117—	—	-$0.93Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No positionClosed	97.9¢—	3,939	$3,856.16—	—	+$81.02Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	1,273	$1,257.01—	—	+$12.83Timeline

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See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@Filllick

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@Filllick

Why this trader grades D

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