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@Familiar-Philosopher

Expert in

First trade Dec 4, 20250x9cf9…ceacView on PolymarketUpdated 26d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 70th pct
Edge: 36th pct
Win Rate: 93rd pct
Max Drawdown: 95th pct
Consistency: 74th pct
Downside Risk: 92nd pct
Track Record: 52nd pct

Volume traded

$1,120.33

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

87.7%

Fees charged: $1.01
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $1.01
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $33.85

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

82 total

Market				To win
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No	89.0¢—	1	$1$1.08	$1.12	+$0.08Timeline
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No	88.0¢—	1	$1$1.10	$1.14	+$0.10Timeline
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No	90.0¢—	1	$1$1.06	$1.11	+$0.06Timeline
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No	97.2¢—	1	$1$1	$1.03	+$0.00Timeline
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No	95.7¢—	1	$1$1.02	$1.04	+$0.02Timeline
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	97.0¢—	1	$1$0.99	$1.03	-$0.01Timeline
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	96.8¢—	1	$1$1.01	$1.03	+$0.01Timeline
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	96.2¢—	1	$1$1.01	$1.04	+$0.01Timeline
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	94.0¢—	1	$1$0.93	$1.06	-$0.07Timeline
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	96.8¢—	1	$1$1.01	$1.03	+$0.01Timeline