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@Failing-Rotation

Expert in

First trade Apr 7, 20260x9083…8d48View on PolymarketUpdated 58d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 40th pct
Edge: 10th pct
Win Rate: 28th pct
Consistency: 21st pct
Track Record: 32nd pct

Volume traded

$6,686.81

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

42.3%

Fees charged: $17.96
Fee refunds: $9.61
Fees paid: $8.36
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$316.95

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-06-22 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

26 total

Market				To win
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? No positionClosed	70.0¢—	63	$44—	—	-$44.00Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? No positionClosed	75.0¢—	133	$100—	—	-$100.00Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No positionClosed	56.0¢—	319	$178.57—	—	+$17.86Timeline
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	179	$127.13—	—	+$36.61Timeline
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? No positionClosed	91.5¢—	99	$90.26—	—	+$7.70Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	48.1¢—	433	$207.99—	—	-$18.26Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET No positionClosed	27.0¢—	41	$11.11—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET No positionClosed	55.7¢—	97	$53.86—	—	+$23.86Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET No positionClosed	48.0¢—	22	$10.42—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET No positionClosed	45.0¢—	25	$11.11—	—	-$5.00Timeline