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@ExplainWatermelon

Expert in

First trade Mar 18, 20250xb64f…3237View on PolymarketUpdated 34d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 73rd pct
Edge: 66th pct
Win Rate: 56th pct
Max Drawdown: 64th pct
Consistency: 17th pct
Downside Risk: 70th pct
Track Record: 82nd pct

Volume traded

$13,711.72

Predictions

418

Rank

—

Win rate

47.6%

Fees charged: $20.16
Fee refunds: $16.13
Fees paid: $4.03
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $96.25

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

418 total

Market				To win
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? No positionClosed	30.0¢—	33	$10—	—	+$0.31Timeline
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No positionClosed	47.0¢—	45	$21—	—	+$5.88Timeline
Cavaliers vs. Heat No positionClosed	71.0¢—	8	$6—	—	+$1.74Timeline
Will Mark Cuban speak at the DNC? No positionClosed	11.0¢—	58	$6.36—	—	-$0.70Timeline
Warriors vs. Kings No positionClosed	70.0¢—	10	$7—	—	+$2.10Timeline
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at his rally? No positionClosed	6.0¢—	833	$50—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Rockets vs. Hawks No positionClosed	65.0¢—	11	$7—	—	+$2.45Timeline
Spurs vs. Magic No positionClosed	55.0¢—	13	$7—	—	+$3.15Timeline
Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview? No positionClosed	67.0¢—	11	$7.46—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	11	$10—	—	+$1.30Timeline