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@Erlingsmygrandpa

Expert in

First trade Apr 12, 20260x5b0a…0045View on PolymarketUpdated 10d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 49th pct
Edge: 28th pct
Win Rate: 61st pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 18th pct
Downside Risk: 14th pct
Track Record: 58th pct

Volume traded

$1,488.85

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

56.0%

Fees charged: $17.55
Fee refunds: $5.24
Fees paid: $12.31
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$87

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

85 total

Market				To win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	78.0¢92.8¢	1	$1$1.19	$1.28	+$0.19Timeline
Mikel Merino: 1+ goals No positionClosed	19.9¢—	289	$57.44—	—	-$11.44Timeline
ODI Series England vs India: England vs India No positionClosed	78.2¢—	3	$2.59—	—	+$0.56Timeline
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	40.7¢—	31	$12.50—	—	+$6.36Timeline
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	41.6¢—	89	$37.17—	—	-$15.45Timeline
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? No positionClosed	20.8¢—	24	$5—	—	-$1.04Timeline
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-19? No positionClosed	90.4¢—	6	$5.56—	—	+$0.53Timeline
France vs. England: O/U 7.5 No positionClosed	66.3¢—	23	$15.34—	—	+$5.16Timeline
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner No positionClosed	72.0¢—	2	$1.41—	—	-$1.01Timeline
Will England win on 2026-07-15? No positionClosed	36.4¢—	39	$14.18—	—	-$5.16Timeline