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@EbonSovereign

Expert in

First trade Dec 21, 20250x12fa…a59eView on PolymarketUpdated 54d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 48th pct
Edge: 65th pct
Win Rate: 42nd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 86th pct
Track Record: 39th pct

Volume traded

$107,304.29

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

50.0%

Fees charged: $353.39
Fee refunds: $331.86
Fees paid: $21.52
Maker rebates: $23
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$89.39

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-09 16:03:07 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

36 total

Market				To win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	8,872	$4,436—	—	+$0.00Timeline
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 No positionClosed	87.0¢—	1,954	$1,700—	—	+$221.00Timeline
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	20	$17.40—	—	-$17.40Timeline
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? No positionClosed	64.0¢—	156	$100—	—	+$36.00Timeline
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? No positionClosed	93.0¢—	32	$30—	—	+$2.10Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	83.2¢—	24	$20—	—	+$3.36Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No positionClosed	79.0¢—	25	$20—	—	+$4.20Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No positionClosed	92.0¢—	11	$10—	—	+$0.80Timeline
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	149	$130—	—	+$16.90Timeline
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	10	$8.70—	—	-$8.70Timeline