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@ELOI-PM

Expert in

First trade Apr 8, 20260x8d27…34b3View on PolymarketUpdated 10d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 53rd pct
Edge: 90th pct
Win Rate: 21st pct
Consistency: 26th pct
Track Record: 23rd pct

Volume traded

$2,083.64

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

40.0%

Fees charged: $0.38
Fee refunds: $0.28
Fees paid: $0.10
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$40.21

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 21:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

18 total

Market				To win
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes	18.8¢13.5¢	22	$4.14$2.97	$22.02	-$1.17Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No positionClosed	9.0¢—	24	$2.16—	—	+$0.00Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No positionClosed	16.0¢—	445	$71.22—	—	-$1.08Timeline
Warriors vs. Clippers No positionClosed	31.9¢—	42	$13.33—	—	+$6.45Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? No positionClosed	5.9¢—	41	$2.42—	—	-$5.13Timeline
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No positionClosed	30.0¢—	137	$41.14—	—	+$0.50Timeline
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? No positionClosed	94.0¢—	10	$9.01—	—	-$0.09Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	14.0¢—	99	$13.79—	—	-$0.69Timeline
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? No positionClosed	92.0¢—	2	$2.16—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	6.6¢—	1,220	$80.54—	—	-$0.74Timeline