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@E.S.Faerch

Expert in

First trade Apr 18, 20260xd0cf…c08cView on PolymarketUpdated 23d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 48th pct
Edge: 79th pct
Win Rate: 31st pct
Consistency: 32nd pct
Track Record: 15th pct

Volume traded

$241,584.11

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

54.5%

Fees charged: $27
Fee refunds: $13.53
Fees paid: $13.47
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$92.92

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

16 total

Market				To win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No	82.0¢—	12	$10$11.52	$12.20	+$1.52Timeline
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? Yes	18.0¢11.0¢	56	$10$6.11	$55.56	-$3.89Timeline
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	59.4¢0.2¢	42	$25$0.06	$42.11	-$24.94Timeline
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes	13.0¢10.5¢	77	$10$8.08	$76.92	-$1.92Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No	82.0¢—	12	$10$11.73	$12.20	+$1.73Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	2.3¢—	5,652	$130—	—	-$17.53Timeline
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? No positionClosed	32.0¢—	488	$156.25—	—	+$106.25Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 22? No positionClosed	1.2¢—	1,598	$19.01—	—	-$19.01Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? No positionClosed	21.0¢—	454	$95.24—	—	+$40.96Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16? No positionClosed	0.1¢—	237,284	$237.28—	—	-$237.28Timeline