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@DeFiFry

Expert in

First trade Dec 23, 20250xa670…5c49View on PolymarketUpdated 102d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 75th pct
Edge: 72nd pct
Win Rate: 2nd pct
Max Drawdown: 63rd pct
Consistency: 63rd pct
Track Record: 13th pct

Volume traded

$28,856.69

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

10.0%

Fees charged: $37.75
Fee refunds: $23.65
Fees paid: $14.10
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $211.92

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

12 total

Market				To win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes	20.0¢13.5¢	474	$94.76$63.96	$473.80	-$30.80Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? YesClosed	6.0¢0.0¢	1,667	$100$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET No positionClosed	1.0¢—	100,000	$1,000—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET No positionClosed	3.0¢—	12,009	$363.45—	—	-$11.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET No positionClosed	50.0¢—	378	$189—	—	-$1.34Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET No positionClosed	49.0¢—	265	$129.99—	—	-$63.70Timeline
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	95.9¢—	15	$14—	—	-$0.03Timeline
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	95.8¢—	15	$14—	—	-$0.35Timeline
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? No positionClosed	30.7¢—	5,340	$1,640.76—	—	-$504.13Timeline
US bank failure by January 31? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	23,926	$1,922.32—	—	+$1,767.87Timeline