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@DavisWilliamf

Expert in

First trade Dec 31, 20250xb5ff…6668View on PolymarketUpdated 103d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 86th pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 93rd pct
Max Drawdown: 81st pct
Consistency: 86th pct
Track Record: 18th pct

Volume traded

$4,313.24

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

100.0%

Fees charged: $4.57
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $4.57
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1,983.94

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-20 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

13 total

Market				To win
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 No positionClosed	49.0¢—	416	$204.08—	—	+$104.08Timeline
Spread: Lakers (-10.5) No positionClosed	49.0¢—	8,330	$4,081.63—	—	+$2,081.64Timeline
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $2.50? No positionClosed	99.7¢—	2	$2.01—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on March 9? No positionClosed	99.2¢—	4	$4.03—	—	+$0.03Timeline
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $50? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	3	$3—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	8	$7.51—	—	+$0.04Timeline
Will the Las Vegas Raiders draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft? No positionClosed	96.0¢—	3	$3.13—	—	+$0.13Timeline
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	2	$2.11—	—	+$0.11Timeline
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	1	$1.01—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	1	$1.32—	—	+$0.02Timeline