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@David046

Expert in

First trade May 5, 20260x6a9e…27b9View on PolymarketUpdated 4d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 34th pct
Edge: 43rd pct
Win Rate: 5th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 52nd pct
Track Record: 30th pct

Volume traded

$715,372.49

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

12.5%

Fees charged: $1.37
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $1.37
Maker rebates: $37.40
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$675.79

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 21:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

25 total

Market				To win
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes	4.0¢5.7¢	600	$24$34.20	$599.91	+$10.20Timeline
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No positionClosed	0.1¢—	2,774	$2.77—	—	-$2.77Timeline
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	0.4¢—	23,985	$93.54—	—	-$81.11Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? No positionClosed	0.1¢—	50,000	$50—	—	-$50.00Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? No positionClosed	0.7¢—	5,875	$41.71—	—	+$398.03Timeline
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No positionClosed	0.4¢—	3,540	$14.16—	—	-$14.16Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? No positionClosed	0.3¢—	205,678	$658.17—	—	-$676.60Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? No positionClosed	0.1¢—	39,866	$39.87—	—	-$29.73Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? No positionClosed	0.3¢—	42,566	$110.67—	—	-$119.83Timeline
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)? No positionClosed	0.1¢—	20,000	$20—	—	-$20.00Timeline