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@Dark-Spectacle

Expert in

First trade Feb 13, 20260xc341…9a9fView on PolymarketUpdated 27d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 84th pct
Edge: 50th pct
Win Rate: 67th pct
Max Drawdown: 69th pct
Consistency: 86th pct
Downside Risk: 76th pct
Track Record: 73rd pct

Volume traded

$234,184.18

Predictions

211

Rank

—

Win rate

55.9%

Fees charged: $517.57
Fee refunds: $243.72
Fees paid: $273.85
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $10
Net realized P&L: $1,362.91

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-09 15:03:07 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

210 total

Market				To win
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No	70.2¢—	235	$165$196.49	$234.89	+$31.49Timeline
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes	50.5¢76.4¢	139	$70$105.87	$138.58	+$35.87Timeline
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No	35.5¢—	141	$50$24.86	$140.85	-$25.14Timeline
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 31? No positionClosed	9.0¢—	111	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? NoClosed	48.3¢$1.00	31	$15$31.03	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? NoClosed	81.1¢$1.00	86	$70$86.28	—	+$0.00Timeline
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No positionClosed	59.8¢—	1,126	$673.39—	—	+$134.03Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? NoClosed	84.0¢$1.00	71	$60$71.43	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? NoClosed	76.0¢$1.00	39	$30$39.47	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? NoClosed	84.6¢$1.00	83	$70$82.79	—	+$0.00Timeline