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@Cheerful-Soil

Expert in

First trade Mar 9, 20260xa8cf…0351View on PolymarketUpdated 49d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 25th pct
Edge: 59th pct
Win Rate: 94th pct
Consistency: 76th pct
Downside Risk: 30th pct
Track Record: 78th pct

Volume traded

$133,627.33

Predictions

302

Rank

—

Win rate

83.9%

Fees charged: $740.05
Fee refunds: $395.48
Fees paid: $344.58
Maker rebates: $5.42
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,578.44

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 17:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

304 total

Market				To win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No positionClosed	82.1¢—	3,320	$2,724.58—	—	-$2,200.31Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No positionClosed	75.7¢—	223	$168.49—	—	+$19.41Timeline
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 No positionClosed	83.0¢—	75	$62—	—	-$62.00Timeline
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 No positionClosed	71.0¢—	89	$63.21—	—	+$17.70Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET No positionClosed	59.0¢—	2	$1—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 No positionClosed	78.0¢—	58	$44.87—	—	+$9.87Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No positionClosed	91.0¢—	220	$200—	—	+$2.00Timeline
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	98.1¢—	1,040	$1,020—	—	+$13.26Timeline
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	94.0¢—	21	$19.99—	—	-$1.20Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No positionClosed	95.7¢—	1,086	$1,040—	—	+$44.44Timeline