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@Careless-Motion

Expert in

First trade Apr 8, 20260xa179…7a9eView on PolymarketUpdated 67d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 15th pct
Edge: 37th pct
Win Rate: 15th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 40th pct
Track Record: 25th pct

Volume traded

$142,020.72

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

31.6%

Fees charged: $131.10
Fee refunds: $1.72
Fees paid: $129.38
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$4,395.39

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-21 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

19 total

Market				To win
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	6.1¢—	3,307	$200.08—	—	-$200.08Timeline
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	1.0¢—	361,000	$3,610—	—	+$3.61Timeline
Spread: England (-1.5) No positionClosed	45.0¢—	46	$20.60—	—	-$20.60Timeline
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	7.7¢—	6,775	$521.71—	—	-$513.38Timeline
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? No positionClosed	29.0¢—	219	$63.45—	—	+$33.62Timeline
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No positionClosed	10.8¢—	13,057	$1,408.87—	—	-$2,329.70Timeline
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 No positionClosed	38.0¢—	212	$80.63—	—	+$49.99Timeline
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 No positionClosed	43.0¢—	67	$28.91—	—	-$28.91Timeline
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No positionClosed	2.6¢—	603,816	$15,489.70—	—	-$810.56Timeline
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	0.7¢—	516,327	$3,614.29—	—	-$14.46Timeline