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@CainHoward

Expert in

First trade Mar 27, 20260x0ec8…ac05View on PolymarketUpdated 5d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 64th pct
Edge: 91st pct
Win Rate: 76th pct
Consistency: 88th pct
Track Record: 19th pct

Volume traded

$10,580.77

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

81.8%

Fees charged: $0.38
Fee refunds: $0.14
Fees paid: $0.24
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1.43

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-05-27 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

14 total

Market				To win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 22? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	4	$4—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on April 23? No positionClosed	74.9¢—	5	$4.01—	—	+$2.01Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 13? No positionClosed	75.0¢—	20	$15.03—	—	+$7.52Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 12? No positionClosed	74.9¢—	17	$13.05—	—	+$6.56Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 8? No positionClosed	75.0¢—	24	$18.02—	—	+$9.02Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 7? No positionClosed	75.0¢—	17	$13.01—	—	+$6.51Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? No positionClosed	74.3¢—	28	$20.55—	—	+$10.59Timeline
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET No positionClosed	74.1¢—	192	$142.57—	—	+$73.89Timeline
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	94.3¢—	1,137	$1,072—	—	-$1.07Timeline
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.6¢—	1,040	$1,025—	—	-$1.03Timeline