0 followers

@Caesar859

Expert in

First trade Jul 24, 20250xe467…3fdbView on PolymarketUpdated 58d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 67th pct
Edge: 58th pct
Win Rate: 21st pct
Consistency: 34th pct
Downside Risk: 80th pct
Track Record: 59th pct

Volume traded

$33,263.55

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

29.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $10.58

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

90 total

Market				To win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	83.7¢—	—	—$0.52	$0.59	+$0.03Timeline
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? YesClosed	1.3¢0.0¢	2	$393$0	—	-$0.01Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by May 8? No positionClosed	92.1¢—	126	$116—	—	+$5.57Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No positionClosed	5.9¢—	5,746	$339—	—	+$4.54Timeline
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? No positionClosed	1.3¢—	28,462	$370—	—	-$0.37Timeline
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? No positionClosed	98.2¢—	110	$108—	—	+$1.06Timeline
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	1.2¢—	14,833	$178—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	11.1¢—	3,712	$412—	—	+$0.12Timeline
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No positionClosed	98.5¢—	302	$297—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No positionClosed	4.2¢—	4,857	$204—	—	+$0.20Timeline