0 followers

@BillyHopson

Expert in

First trade Feb 24, 20260x78b1…6140View on PolymarketUpdated 65d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 30th pct
Edge: 34th pct
Win Rate: 23rd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 69th pct
Downside Risk: 62nd pct
Track Record: 51st pct

Volume traded

$84,028.54

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

32.8%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,036.87

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

61 total

Market				To win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? No positionClosed	1.4¢—	1,011	$14.35—	—	-$14.35Timeline
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? No positionClosed	33.7¢—	409	$137.93—	—	-$134.77Timeline
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? No positionClosed	4.6¢—	3,793	$175.23—	—	-$175.23Timeline
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? No positionClosed	0.9¢—	338,909	$3,150.83—	—	-$7.09Timeline
Epstein client list released by June 30? No positionClosed	18.3¢—	2,076	$380.16—	—	-$5.50Timeline
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? No positionClosed	21.0¢—	1,509	$316.90—	—	+$6.34Timeline
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? No positionClosed	6.8¢—	16,377	$1,108.25—	—	+$10.34Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? No positionClosed	0.5¢—	22,913	$109.98—	—	-$109.98Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? No positionClosed	22.3¢—	7,569	$1,690.16—	—	-$1,690.16Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? No positionClosed	4.2¢—	9,470	$401.51—	—	-$401.51Timeline