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@Belk

Expert in

First trade Mar 1, 20250x0bcf…9ac2View on PolymarketUpdated 49d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 86th pct
Edge: 92nd pct
Win Rate: 62nd pct
Max Drawdown: 76th pct
Consistency: 81st pct
Downside Risk: 72nd pct
Track Record: 53rd pct

Volume traded

$89,063.28

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

58.2%

Fees charged: $0.62
Fee refunds: $0.53
Fees paid: $0.09
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1,933.91

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-04-23 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

67 total

Market				To win
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? No positionClosed	38.0¢—	413	$157.02—	—	+$65.17Timeline
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? No positionClosed	7.0¢—	4,286	$300—	—	+$3.50Timeline
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	166	$145.82—	—	+$17.39Timeline
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? No positionClosed	1.1¢—	474,155	$5,050.70—	—	-$4.62Timeline
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? No positionClosed	7.0¢—	1,564	$109.71—	—	+$0.87Timeline
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? No positionClosed	0.8¢—	2,343	$18.74—	—	-$0.02Timeline
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? No positionClosed	26.5¢—	1,391	$369.30—	—	+$198.28Timeline
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? No positionClosed	30.2¢—	993	$299.46—	—	+$34.65Timeline
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	751	$600.27—	—	+$119.07Timeline
Will Trump say "Third term" in March? No positionClosed	62.9¢—	10,128	$6,370.13—	—	-$3,182.51Timeline

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See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@Belk

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@Belk

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