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@Authentic-Gelding

Expert in

First trade Jan 22, 20260x9652…d0a0View on PolymarketUpdated 49d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 81st pct
Edge: 71st pct
Win Rate: 84th pct
Max Drawdown: 90th pct
Consistency: 77th pct
Downside Risk: 85th pct
Track Record: 58th pct

Volume traded

$88,239.10

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

73.9%

Fees charged: $59.18
Fee refunds: $43.91
Fees paid: $15.28
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $776.76

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 17:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

88 total

Market				To win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29? No positionClosed	48.0¢—	833	$400—	—	-$108.00Timeline
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28? No positionClosed	56.0¢—	268	$150—	—	+$17.00Timeline
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No positionClosed	60.0¢—	333	$200—	—	+$14.00Timeline
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No positionClosed	77.0¢—	130	$100—	—	+$4.80Timeline
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26? No positionClosed	22.0¢—	153	$33.68—	—	-$3.36Timeline
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22? No positionClosed	34.0¢—	100	$34—	—	-$34.00Timeline
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? No positionClosed	53.3¢—	223	$119.09—	—	-$44.86Timeline
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No positionClosed	74.0¢—	3,432	$2,539.57—	—	+$172.49Timeline
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? No positionClosed	69.0¢—	145	$100—	—	+$29.00Timeline
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No positionClosed	65.0¢—	8,911	$5,791.95—	—	+$20.23Timeline