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@Augustus483

Expert in

First trade Mar 8, 20250x51ab…e154View on PolymarketUpdated 59d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 67th pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 62nd pct
Consistency: 82nd pct
Downside Risk: 70th pct
Track Record: 54th pct

Volume traded

$46,308.54

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

57.7%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $10.75

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-05-15 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

71 total

Market				To win
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	95.2¢—	2,398	$2,283—	—	+$7.28Timeline
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	14.1¢—	47,390	$6,682—	—	+$20.87Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No positionClosed	4.6¢—	98,065	$4,511—	—	-$14.55Timeline
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	2.3¢—	194,130	$4,465—	—	-$4.47Timeline
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No positionClosed	98.6¢—	281	$277—	—	+$0.28Timeline
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? No positionClosed	97.5¢—	1,109	$1,081—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No positionClosed	98.1¢—	1,185	$1,162—	—	-$4.65Timeline
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? No positionClosed	5.3¢—	16,811	$891—	—	+$4.43Timeline
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	1,487	$1,249—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? No positionClosed	94.5¢—	8	$8—	—	+$0.08Timeline