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@Amitkk

Expert in

First trade Apr 1, 20250x0996…e66bView on PolymarketUpdated 18d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 78th pct
Edge: 4th pct
Win Rate: 50th pct
Max Drawdown: 78th pct
Consistency: 64th pct
Downside Risk: 79th pct
Track Record: 65th pct

Volume traded

$10,458.77

Predictions

135

Rank

—

Win rate

47.6%

Fees charged: $0.85
Fee refunds: $0.66
Fees paid: $0.19
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $358.34

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

135 total

Market				To win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes	28.0¢5.5¢	18	$5$0.98	$17.86	-$4.02Timeline
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No	77.0¢—	39	$30$35.84	$38.96	+$5.84Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes	24.0¢6.5¢	42	$10$2.71	$41.67	-$7.29Timeline
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes	40.0¢15.5¢	25	$10$3.88	$25	-$6.13Timeline
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	55.4¢—	18	$10$3.13	$18.05	-$6.87Timeline
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes	34.0¢8.4¢	29	$10$2.46	$29.41	-$7.54Timeline
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes	35.0¢8.0¢	17	$6$1.37	$17.14	-$4.63Timeline
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes	25.4¢9.0¢	28	$7$2.48	$27.57	-$4.52Timeline
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes	33.1¢8.0¢	64	$21$5.08	$63.53	-$15.92Timeline
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? No positionClosed	56.6¢—	18	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline