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@Alarming-Leg

Expert in

Category 72%Category 72%Category 72%

Upgrade to Pro to see category expertise →$99/mo · about $3.30/day

#3435on leaderboard A98.2trader grade+3% edgeDirectional

First trade Feb 27, 20260xcaf5…41abView on PolymarketUpdated 2h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 83rd pct
Edge: 78th pct
Win Rate: 51st pct
Max Drawdown: 82nd pct
Consistency: 66th pct
Downside Risk: 81st pct
Track Record: 97th pct

Volume traded

$288,349.71

Predictions

4,820

Rank

#3,435

Win rate

40.9%

Fees charged: $786.73
Fee refunds: $150.48
Fees paid: $636.25
Maker rebates: $70.09
Taker rebates: $5.88
Net realized P&L: $1,361.86

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed .

Net trading P&L

All-Time

4,826 total

Market				To win
Will Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week? Yes	32.0¢28.0¢	54	$17.27$15.11	$53.97	-$2.16Timeline
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? Yes	41.0¢43.5¢	54	$22.09$23.44	$53.88	+$1.35Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 16? Yes	2.0¢1.5¢	110	$2.20$1.65	$110	-$0.55Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16? Yes	26.9¢22.5¢	148	$39.87$33.38	$148.38	-$6.49Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15? Yes	11.0¢37.0¢	40	$4.39$14.76	$39.90	+$10.37Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 15? Yes	52.0¢13.5¢	31	$15.87$4.12	$30.52	-$11.75Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 15? Yes	38.0¢25.5¢	38	$14.31$9.60	$37.65	-$4.71Timeline
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No	63.0¢—	35	$22.06$21.53	$35.01	-$0.53Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 15? Yes	20.0¢14.5¢	86	$17.14$12.43	$85.71	-$4.71Timeline
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	77.0¢75.5¢	28	$21.84$21.41	$28.36	-$0.43Timeline

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Insights

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Hourly Performance

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P&L and win rate broken down by hour of day.

Performance Breakdown

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Win rates, P&L, and edge across market categories, hold times, and hours of the day.

Pro analysis

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Comparative benchmarks, profit drivers, entry price analysis, and market preferences.

Wallet funding

See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@Alarming-Leg

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@Alarming-Leg

Why this trader grades A

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