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@Advanced-Muscatel

Expert in

First trade Sep 24, 20250x3e0a…342dView on PolymarketUpdated 58d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 88th pct
Edge: 45th pct
Win Rate: 89th pct
Max Drawdown: 77th pct
Consistency: 83rd pct
Track Record: 20th pct

Volume traded

$42,254.48

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

93.3%

Fees charged: $14.80
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $14.80
Maker rebates: $1.20
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $3,005.37

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

18 total

Market				To win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No	90.0¢—	1,000	$900$945	$1,000	+$45.00Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No	88.0¢—	3,400	$2,990.99$3,252.09	$3,399.99	+$261.10Timeline
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No	72.0¢—	1,500	$1,080$1,372.50	$1,500	+$292.50Timeline
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? No positionClosed	83.0¢—	1,446	$1,200—	—	+$204.00Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No positionClosed	86.5¢—	2,427	$2,100—	—	+$283.00Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No positionClosed	91.6¢—	3,286	$3,009.96—	—	+$252.63Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No positionClosed	83.5¢—	4,155	$3,468.42—	—	+$573.37Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No positionClosed	89.0¢—	2,786	$2,479.49—	—	+$272.75Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	944	$472.15—	—	+$236.08Timeline
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	1,364	$1,200—	—	+$144.00Timeline