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@Adorable-Craftsman

Expert in

First trade Mar 2, 20260x25e3…ab76View on PolymarketUpdated 124d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 90th pct
Edge: 11th pct
Win Rate: 60th pct
Max Drawdown: 62nd pct
Consistency: 66th pct
Downside Risk: 68th pct
Track Record: 86th pct

Volume traded

$62,885.77

Predictions

618

Rank

—

Win rate

49.3%

Fees charged: $572.91
Fee refunds: $321.76
Fees paid: $251.15
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $4,995.74

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

612 total

Market				To win
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No	87.0¢—	3	$2.62$2.70	$3.01	+$0.08Timeline
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No	93.0¢—	1	$1.13$1.15	$1.22	+$0.02Timeline
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	31.0¢23.5¢	4	$1.18$0.89	$3.81	-$0.29Timeline
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes	41.0¢46.0¢	2	$1.02$1.14	$2.49	+$0.12Timeline
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barrios No positionClosed	41.0¢—	7	$2.85—	—	-$1.17Timeline
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner No positionClosed	37.9¢—	44	$16.65—	—	+$10.34Timeline
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04? No positionClosed	16.0¢—	780	$124.75—	—	-$19.96Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4? No positionClosed	40.0¢—	496	$198.30—	—	-$79.30Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? No positionClosed	36.0¢—	617	$221.94—	—	-$79.90Timeline
Istanbul: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Alice Tubello No positionClosed	25.0¢—	1,279	$319.68—	—	-$79.92Timeline