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@Adele787

Expert in

First trade Oct 13, 20250xc1d6…70cdView on PolymarketUpdated 28d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 65th pct
Edge: 61st pct
Win Rate: 21st pct
Consistency: 53rd pct
Track Record: 41st pct

Volume traded

$5,020

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

33.3%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $3.32

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-06-25 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

39 total

Market				To win
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	92	$80—	—	+$0.80Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No positionClosed	97.8¢—	61	$60—	—	-$0.06Timeline
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? No positionClosed	32.0¢—	338	$108—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	1,618	$275—	—	+$1.86Timeline
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No positionClosed	3.1¢—	8,806	$273—	—	+$0.03Timeline
Will Alberta join the US? No positionClosed	95.7¢—	75	$72—	—	-$0.36Timeline
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No positionClosed	28.0¢—	686	$192—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No positionClosed	78.0¢—	113	$88—	—	+$0.00Timeline
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No positionClosed	19.0¢—	842	$160—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No positionClosed	19.3¢—	560	$108—	—	-$0.43Timeline