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@Adam900

Expert in

First trade Feb 23, 20260xa8cb…611aView on PolymarketUpdated 39d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 46th pct
Edge: 19th pct
Win Rate: 17th pct
Consistency: 38th pct
Track Record: 43rd pct

Volume traded

$238,148.67

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

28.6%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$123.33

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

47 total

Market				To win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	83.5¢—	—	—$0.47	$0.51	+$0.05Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No	91.8¢—	—	—$0.67	$0.70	+$0.03Timeline
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	12.4¢8.5¢	4	$0.50$0.34	$4	-$0.16Timeline
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	7.8¢—	17,359	$1,354—	—	-$0.15Timeline
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	2.1¢—	147,000	$3,087—	—	-$0.06Timeline
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.1¢—	1,144	$1,122—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.9¢—	1,125	$1,113—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.4¢—	1,030	$1,014—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	96.6¢—	301	$291—	—	+$0.29Timeline
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	17.3¢—	4,092	$708—	—	+$0.71Timeline