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Expert in

First trade Nov 24, 20230x9a11…64b9View on PolymarketUpdated 52d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 46th pct
Edge: 25th pct
Win Rate: 34th pct
Consistency: 6th pct
Downside Risk: 45th pct
Track Record: 76th pct

Volume traded

$94,456.04

Predictions

258

Rank

—

Win rate

35.4%

Fees charged: $5.50
Fee refunds: $1.24
Fees paid: $4.26
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$130.10

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

258 total

Market				To win
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	94.8¢—	1	$1$0.96	$1.05	-$0.04Timeline
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	20.0¢—	25	$5—	—	+$0.05Timeline
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No positionClosed	24.8¢—	20	$5—	—	-$0.15Timeline
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No positionClosed	83.6¢—	7	$5.98—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No positionClosed	36.5¢—	49	$17.94—	—	-$2.06Timeline
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No positionClosed	1.1¢—	8,265	$90.91—	—	+$1.00Timeline
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	1	$1.18—	—	+$0.15Timeline
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	66.7¢—	7	$4.99—	—	-$0.29Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No positionClosed	79.0¢—	6	$5—	—	+$0.25Timeline
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? No positionClosed	64.2¢—	23	$14.99—	—	+$0.75Timeline