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@956arc

Expert in

First trade Mar 24, 20260x9d0a…2346View on PolymarketUpdated 131d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 54th pct
Win Rate: 1st pct
Consistency: 31st pct
Track Record: 17th pct

Volume traded

$9,392.56

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

0.0%

Fees charged: $16.01
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $16.01
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$32.31

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-13 19:21:49 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

12 total

Market				To win
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	4,101	$2,050.46—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	1,016	$1,015.25—	—	-$1.02Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	96.5¢—	1,103	$1,064.60—	—	-$1.06Timeline
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	50	$50.30—	—	-$0.05Timeline
Will Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	39	$38.57—	—	-$0.04Timeline
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	989	$987.92—	—	-$0.99Timeline
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? No positionClosed	99.7¢—	102	$101.40—	—	-$0.10Timeline
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	87	$86.93—	—	-$0.09Timeline
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No positionClosed	91.6¢—	24	$22.39—	—	-$0.02Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	122	$121.43—	—	-$0.12Timeline