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Expert in

First trade Dec 28, 20250xc2fb…db97View on PolymarketUpdated 37d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 73rd pct
Edge: 64th pct
Win Rate: 90th pct
Max Drawdown: 87th pct
Consistency: 92nd pct
Track Record: 28th pct

Volume traded

$3,949.24

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

90.9%

Fees charged: $0.10
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.10
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $97.68

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 12:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

22 total

Market				To win
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	42	$41.71—	—	+$0.29Timeline
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.2¢—	637	$632.01—	—	+$3.16Timeline
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.1¢—	491	$487—	—	-$0.49Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	65	$64.26—	—	+$0.26Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	367	$366—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No positionClosed	96.4¢—	76	$73.65—	—	+$2.65Timeline
Thunder vs. Raptors No positionClosed	50.0¢—	364	$182—	—	+$91.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on February 19? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	26	$26.05—	—	+$0.05Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on February 7? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	14	$14.01—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	15	$15.03—	—	+$0.03Timeline