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First trade Jul 29, 20240xa3d0…cb1dView on PolymarketUpdated 39d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 48th pct
Edge: 89th pct
Win Rate: 42nd pct
Consistency: 22nd pct
Track Record: 30th pct

Volume traded

$29,990.88

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

54.2%

Fees charged: $0.41
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.41
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$93.86

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 15:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

24 total

Market				To win
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	310	$305.19—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.0¢—	416	$408.16—	—	-$2.04Timeline
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No positionClosed	96.2¢—	2,918	$2,806.65—	—	-$2.80Timeline
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? No positionClosed	27.3¢—	18	$5—	—	-$5.00Timeline
US forces enter Iran by April 30? No positionClosed	62.0¢—	8	$5—	—	+$3.06Timeline
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	8	$6.25—	—	+$1.25Timeline
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 No positionClosed	95.0¢—	8	$7.37—	—	+$0.37Timeline
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	6	$4.76—	—	+$0.76Timeline
Will Gerald Murnane win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature? No positionClosed	39.0¢—	20	$7.69—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	173	$29.41—	—	-$5.00Timeline