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@54sd

Expert in

First trade Jan 5, 20260xbcc3…b86dView on PolymarketUpdated 93d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 42nd pct
Edge: 78th pct
Win Rate: 79th pct
Consistency: 84th pct
Downside Risk: 26th pct
Track Record: 51st pct

Volume traded

$30,215.73

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

71.0%

Fees charged: $67.72
Fee refunds: $0.80
Fees paid: $66.92
Maker rebates: $11.16
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$219.20

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-10 03:49:06 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

70 total

Market				To win
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	14.5¢—	56,505	$8,193.10—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? YesClosed	99.9¢$1.00	13	$13$13.01	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? YesClosed	99.7¢$1.00	10	$10$10.03	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? NoClosed	90.0¢$1.00	102	$92$102.22	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? NoClosed	99.9¢$1.00	18	$18$18.02	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? NoClosed	99.9¢$1.00	18	$18$18.02	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? NoClosed	99.9¢$1.00	14	$14$14.01	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? NoClosed	99.9¢$1.00	15	$15$15.02	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	12	$11.51—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	11	$11.46—	—	+$0.01Timeline